It's Here! It's Queer!

[Shiny]

No, it actually isn't...maybe. It's the Oscars! It's coming next month. Many people like to say award shows are predictable, but can you predict all -- if not most of who will be winning that night? Feel free to give reasons for your predictions.

For the list of nominees for every category you can go here (http://www.indiewire.com/article/82nd_academy_award_nominations/).

I'll put my predictions in another post.

[Moon Rabbits]

I thought this was about me and was excited.

[charliepanayi]

Best Film: Avatar - because it's made a ton of money
Best Director: James Cameron or Kathryn Bigelow - see above, or the Academy will want to make history
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges - because he's lost so many times before
Best Actress: Sandra Bullock - because the Academy loves those 'ballsy' roles, and because the shortlist is pretty poor
Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz - he's won every other award so far
Best Supporting Actress: Monique - ditto

Otherwise expect Up in the Air to scoop Best Adapted Screenplay, Up to win Best Animated Film, and the ceremony to last an eternity.

[Shiny]

Best Director: James Cameron or Kathryn Bigelow - see above, or the Academy will want to make history
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges - because he's lost so many times before
Best Supporting Actress: Monique - ditto

Otherwise expect Up in the Air to scoop Best Adapted Screenplay, Up to win Best Animated Film, and the ceremony to last an eternity.
These are all givens. I would like to see District 9 for best adapted screenplay, but it did have some piss poor dialogue at times. The script in Up in the Air was just amazing.

I wouldn't be too sure of Waltz winning. Though he is a favorite to win, the supporting actor Oscar has always been an unpredictable award and he's up against people like Morgan Freeman who played Nelson Mandela and Stanely Tucci who played what I thought was a very convincing psychopathic pedophile; which was a very challenging role for him.

[charliepanayi]

Waltz is the biggest certainty of the lot. He's won every supporting actor award going, it would be a huge upset if he didn't win. Plus recent wins for Heath Ledger and Javier Bardem suggests they love their psycho characters in this category.

Also he's up against Matt Damon, not Morgan Freeman.

[Shiny]

It wouldn't be an upset to me seeing as how he still nabbed the academy award and there are others nommed for that list that I think I think are good, but he is definitely not the underdog. And you're right, I was confusing Morgan Freeman's best actor nom with best supporting actor. That changes things a little.

[Breine]

If Avatar wins Best Movie it'd be the "WTF Moment of the Year". Seriously.

[Shiny]

Best Picture - Avatar
Best Lead Actor - Jeff Bridges
Best Support Actor - Christoph Waltz, though I would prefer Stanley Tucci to win because I think he's good and I don't like when people sweep this award unless their name is Marlon Brando, Christian Bale, or Jack Nicholoson
Best Actress Lead - Meryl Streep
Best Support Actress - Mo-Nique
Best Animated - Up
Art Direction - The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Cinematography - Robert Richardson (Inglorious Basterds)
Costume Design - The Young Victoria
Directing - Kathryn Bigelow ( The Hurt Locker)
Documentary Feature - The Cove...though I could see Food,Inc. winning just as easily
Documentary Short - Rabbit a la Berlin
Editing - Sally Menke (Inglorious Basterds), she needs to win
Foreign Language - The White Ribbon
Makeup - Stark Trek...this is just a guess cuz I don't pay attention to makeup unless it's completely dire
Music Original Score - Up
Music Original Song - "The Weary Kind" I haven't even listened to it, but everyone keeps gushing about it so it will probably win
Short Animated - A Matter of Loaf and Death...of course one of their movies will win because it's stop motion and stop motion animation is amazing
Short Live Action - The Door
Sound Mixing - Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
VFX - Avatar, duh
Writing Adapted - Up in the Air, an amazing script
Writing Original - A Serious Man, gonna play it safe and stick with the Coen Brothers

[Bunny]

Best Picture: A Serious Man
Although it will likely go to a movie everyone has seen this year (Avatar, The Hurt Locker), I would absolutely love to see this movie when the big prize. I have yet to see Avatar, but I highly doubt it is as entertaining and wonderfully done as A Serious Man was.

Actor in a Leading Role: Jeff Bridges
Having not seen Crazy Heart at this time (nor most of the movies on the noms list) I can only guess. However, I've heared rave reviews about his performance.

Actor in a Supporting Role: Christoph Waltz
There is no God if this man does not win.

Actress in a Leading Role: Sandra Bollocks
The general consensus about the victor here seems to be Sandra Bullock. No interest in the movie itself, but everything good I've heard about The Blind Side mentions her specifically and usually first.

Actress in a Supporting Role: Mo'nique
Who doesn't love fat, black women in heart-warmingly sad movies. Or something to that effect. Screw Mo'nique.

Animed Feature Film: Up
Sad day in Hollywood if this film doesn't take it home.

Art Direction: Avatar
Durp durp durp. It was either this or Nine and my vote goes towards this.

Cinematography: The Hurt Locker
I'm getting tired of explaining my choices.

Costume Design: Nine
This was a terrible idea.

Directing: The Hurt Locker
WHY

Documentary Feature: Food, Inc.
---

Documentary Short: Rabbit à la Berlin
Any film that has à la in it is a surefire winner in my book.

Film Editing: Avatar
CAUSE HE'S MADE SO MUCH MONEY HE BOUGHT GODHOOD STATUS

Foreign Language Film: Who the hell cares about foreigners.
Seriously, I don't.

Makeup: Star Trek
Wait what

Music (Original Score): The Hurt Locker
I wanted to go with Fantastic Mr. Fox because the dude's last name is Desplat but Hurt Locker has two nominees. I like those odds.

Music (Original Song): Crazy Heart
Cause it's a weary kind of heart.

Short Film (Animooted): The Lady and the Reaper
La Dama y la Muerte

Short Film: The New Tenants
The offered picture on the Oscar website has a screaming black man. Need I say more?

Sound Editing: Avatar
Seriously. He's a modern day gold god man.

Sound Mixing: Transformers
:bou::bou::bou::bou: movies have to win :bou::bou::bou::bou: awards.

Visual Effects: AVATAR
LOL NOBODY SAW THIS

Writing (Adapted Screenplay): Preecious: Based on the Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
I hate this movie even more because of that stupid title.

Writing (Original Screenplay): The Hurt Locker
Random guessing!

I've had two hours of sleep.

[indent]

[Shiny]

Kathryn vs. her egotiscal ex husband lol for best director

[Bunny]

Whether or not he was just being nice (which he probably was, he's probably a gigantic cockbag irl), he already said it'd be a great disservice to the entire world of film if she didn't win Best Director.

Or something to that effect. He's a cockbag.

[Loony BoB]

EDIT: Wrong thread! :D Haha.

Based on the movies I've seen, I think Avatar will win everything, but Up/Nine/Transformers/Coraline will win all the others. Because these are, I think, all the movies I've seen.

[Shiny]

That was sweet of him to say, but I know he really wanted to say, "WHAT BISH SUCK IT I AM JAMES MOTHER FUCKING CAMERON I :bou::bou::bou::bou: DIAMONDS!"

[Bunny]

That would hurt a lot. Even for James Cameron.

then again i guess he's used to hard things in his bum

[Rye]

I've not kept up enough to predict accurately, but if District 9, Up and Carey Mulligan win something and Avatar wins minimally, I'll be a happy camper.

[Breine]

My predictions!


Best Motion Picture of the Year
The Hurt Locker

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart (2009)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Meryl Streep for Julie & Julia (2009) - this could potentially also go to Bullock or Sidibe. I hope Streep wins.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Christoph Waltz for Inglourious Basterds (2009)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Mo'Nique for Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire (2009)

Best Achievement in Directing
James Cameron for Avatar (2009) - Damn him, but he's probably going to win this one.

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Inglourious Basterds (2009): Quentin Tarantino

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Up in the Air (2009/I): Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner

Best Achievement in Cinematography
The Hurt Locker (2008): Barry Ackroyd

Best Achievement in Editing
Inglourious Basterds (2009): Sally Menke - COME ON SALLY!

Best Achievement in Art Direction
Avatar (2009): Rick Carter, Robert Stromberg, Kim Sinclair

Best Achievement in Costume Design
The Young Victoria (2009): Sandy Powell

Best Achievement in Makeup
Star Trek (2009): Barney Burman, Mindy Hall, Joel Harlow

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score
Sherlock Holmes (2009): Hans Zimmer

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song
Crazy Heart (2009): T-Bone Burnett, Ryan Bingham("The Weary Kind")

Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (2009): Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Geoffrey Patterson

Best Achievement in Sound Editing
The Hurt Locker (2008): Paul N.J. Ottosson

Best Achievement in Visual Effects
Avatar (2009): Joe Letteri, Stephen Rosenbaum, Richard Baneham, Andy Jones - the one award it actually deserves to win.

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
Up (2009): Pete Docter

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
Das weisse Band - Eine deutsche Kindergeschichte (2009)(Germany)

Best Documentary, Features
Food, Inc. (2008): Robert Kenner, Elise Pearlstein - I hope Burma VJ wins, though :)

Best Documentary, Short Subjects
China's Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province (2009) (TV): Jon Alpert, Matthew O'Neill

Best Short Film, Animated
Wallace and Gromit in 'A Matter of Loaf and Death' (2008) (TV): Nick Park

Best Short Film, Live Action
The Door (2008): Juanita Wilson, James Flynn

[Shiny]

My predictions!

Best Achievement in Cinematography
The Hurt Locker (2008): Barry Ackroyd

Best Achievement in Sound Editing
The Hurt Locker (2008): Paul N.J. Ottosson

What the hell. :confused:

I feel like The Hurt Locker getting nommed for cinematography, is a slap in the face to films like Inglorious Basterds. If it wins anything other than director, I will be pissed.

[Shlup]

I don't find awards shows predictable, I find them boring. I do not pay attention to them.

Though I'm sure the people getting the awards deserve to be happy about it. Good for them.

[Miriel]

My predictions:

Best Motion Picture of the Year
Inglourious Basterds - Gonna be ballsy here and go for the dark horse upset.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart) - He's been picking up a ton of steam, which makes me sad cause I think Colin Firth deserves it for his role in A Single Man.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Bullock (Blind Side) - UHGGH, WHY?? I think Mulligan deserves this award so much. If she can pull and upset, I'd be so happy, but I don't think she will.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds) - No doubt.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Mo'Nique (Precious) - This lady doesn't shave her legs and doesn't give a smurf if people see/talk/gossip. I love that.

Best Achievement in Directing
Kathryn Bigalow - I think this one is a lock. I doubt the Academy will let this chance to make history slip away.

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Inglourious Basterds

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Up in the Air

Best Achievement in Cinematography
Avatar

Best Achievement in Editing
Hurt Locker

Best Achievement in Art Direction
Avatar

Best Achievement in Costume Design
The Young Victoria

Best Achievement in Makeup
Star Trek

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score
UP

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song
Crazy Heart "The Weary Kind"

Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
Hurt Locker vs. Avatar

Best Achievement in Sound Editing
Hurt Locker vs. Avatar


Best Achievement in Visual Effects
Avatar

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
UP

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
“The White Ribbon”, Germany

Best Documentary, Features
The Cove - The only one I've seen was Food, INC which was great but apparently The Cove is gonna win this thing.

Best Documentary, Short Subjects
China's Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province

Best Short Film, Animated
Wallace and Gromit in A Matter of Loaf and Death

Best Short Film, Live Action
The Door - Random guessing!

[Breine]

My predictions!

Best Achievement in Cinematography
The Hurt Locker (2008): Barry Ackroyd

Best Achievement in Sound Editing
The Hurt Locker (2008): Paul N.J. Ottosson

What the hell. :confused:

I feel like The Hurt Locker getting nommed for cinematography, is a slap in the face to films like Inglorious Basterds. If it wins anything other than director, I will be pissed.

Sure, I want Inglorious Basterds to win too.. but somehow I just doubt it will win Best Cinematography.

[Rebellious Eagle]

Oh no, not another awards show! I can't even tell them apart anymore because they're all so similar. And boring, as ShlupQuack said. :|

[Shiny]

You can kinda cheat for this by looking at the winners of BAFTA. Though British opinion is sometimes different from American opinion -- many of the movies that win for BAFTA will win for the Oscars.

[charliepanayi]

Yeah but BAFTA voters are more biased towards British actors (Firth and Mulligan will not win at the Oscars) and were apparently never too likely to pick Avatar as Best Film. So they're not always the best barometer.

And it's not just another awards show, it's the Oscars, the biggest, dumbest, most hilariously OTT of the lot (except the Grammys, but they're just crap).

[Shiny]

Of course, which is why I said British opinion is sometimes different from American opinion. I think some of these awards are pretty obvious who the winner is going to be, but people can also look SAG awards for help. I actually think those winners will be very close to what the Oscar turnout will be.

[McLovin']

Just have 'Up' win best animation!

[Madame Adequate]

itbt I only care that Waltz and Mulligan win their respective things.

[charliepanayi]

itbt I only care that Waltz and Mulligan win their respective things.

You'll get one of those two anyway.

[Drift]

I'm just glad I'm not working for this one cause when I had to work for the Grammy's I did 13 hours in total :(

[Bunny]

Well, I was mostly right.

[Shiny]

I was throughly shocked when Precious won instead of Up in the Air. I like the Precious script, but I was not expecting it to win. Not as predictable as I thought it would be, but it was a given that The Hurt Locker or Avatar would take home Best Picture.

[Merk]

I've not kept up enough to predict accurately, but if District 9, Up and Carey Mulligan win something and Avatar wins minimally, I'll be a happy camper.

I don't think district 9 was good enough to win any awards. Unless there is a new award for a good idea for a story with a stupid ending. Or an award for the lead character I care the least about.

Also Christoph Waltz deserved the best supporting win.