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Rostum
01-02-2011, 05:39 AM
Let me begin by wishing a happy new year to all players and fans of FINAL FANTASY XIV!

The last few weeks of 2010 were tumultuous times for us all, what with the announcement of the development team restructuring and multiple version updates. Still, I hope you are all enjoying your winter vacations and holidays, and had truly memorable Christmas and New Year's Eves and Days.

As part of the new direction promised, we here on the development and management teams have adopted four new keywords for FINAL FANTASY XIV: fun, live, reboot, and rebuild. Forgive our translators if these buzzwords seem a bit cryptic or cliché, but I am using these English words as-is in the Japanese, and insisted they use the same words for a global resonance.

To get things rolling right away, I am asking for your cooperation with our FINAL FANTASY XIV Player's Poll the First (https://secure.square-enix.com/enqt/e/FF14EPLAYERENQ01/html)—a brief questionnaire being issued to give you the players another means by which to have your voices heard.

Well, I would be lying if I said I was writing only to wish you the best in the coming twelve moons. Truth be told, the realm is all aflutter just now—the air thick with anticipation and excitement. In fact, an ancient verse of prophecy was delivered to my person by a messenger from Eorzea not moments ago. But I've never been much of one for poems... Perhaps some of you will have more luck decoding it than I have.

FINAL FANTASY XIV, The Lodestone (http://lodestone.finalfantasyxiv.com/pl/index.html)

I strongly recommend voting.

Also, Eorzeapedia managed to translate the first part of the interview with Yoshida (the new director).


4Gamer: Thanks for taking time to meet with us today. I was really surprised to hear about the new leadership team. Barely 3 months have passed since the official start of service. I think having such a big change in a development team could be unprecedented.

Yoshida: Thank you as well. We’re sorry for any commotion this may have caused. We decided that precisely because we’re at the three month mark, now is the time for the drastic changes needed to make this game an MMORPG worthy of its Final Fantasy name. As we posted to the Lodestone previously, all of the staff at Square Enix will strive even harder than ever to make this game one that satisfies the demands of all of our players.

4Gamer: This might sound a little odd but, after seeing the announcement, we can see how serious Square Enix is taking FFXIV as it is a numbered title in the FF series.

Yoshida: We firmly believe that this is an important product of ours. We’ll continue to push out updates, aiming for the type of content that players can enjoy 3 years, 6 years, and even 10 years from now. Our goal is also to get to a place where the entire company is able to look back at FFXIV and say it’s a prime example of a numbered title for the Final Fantasy series.

4Gamer: And so the entire company was involved, which resulted in the huge shake up of staff.

Yoshida: That’s right. For example, one member of our team, Minagawa, was just up until recently working as the director for another title, the PSP remake of Tactics Ogre: Let Us Cling Together. Now we’ve asked him to be our User Interface man. I think the fact that we’re having the director of FFXII working mainly on our User Interface shows how serious Square Enix is about FFXIV.
(Hiroshi Minagawa is now the lead User Interface Artist as well as the lead Web Content Artist.)

4Gamer: I certainly agree that the announcement contains the names of many people who have been a part of the Final Fantasy series.

Yoshida: It almost makes you wonder how the rest of the titles here are going to fare now. However, we have to put as much effort as we can into regaining the trust of our players. MMORPGs require long term communication between the players and developers. There is also the fact that development on this game is being done worldwide at the same time. For a title as huge as FFXIV, you really need these types of people on your team.

4Gamer: I’d also like to ask, just how far reaching is the change? I’m assuming that there have been shifts in roles not listed on the Lodestone as well.

Yoshida: Well, you can’t expect to get great results just by adding more people or changing some out. However, the game contents are also not going to change much if you just replace the names at the top of your organization chart. What you really need is for each person on the staff to know what they need to be doing, meet their goals, and take care of the technology problems they come across. On top of that, you have to listen to the players and set priorities. Until you do those things, you can’t think about the pace of development or program accuracy. The other stuff comes first.

I also believe that we have to release packed updates without holding things back. We’d like to make it so that players know what we are thinking on a continual basis after listening to their feedback.

4Gamer: I see. That requires somebody to be there overseeing everything.

Yoshida: I agree. That’s where I see my role as Producer and Director. You need one person that has a grasp on the entire project. Then we can work on improving development.

4Gamer: So in other words, somebody that makes sure everyone is on the same page, rather than having separate people taking care of things. I have to admit, one thing I’ve noticed during my time in Eorzea is this odd mismatched sort of feeling, like everything isn’t interconnected properly.

Yoshida: Talk to anybody on our staff and you’ll find that they are dead serious about FFXIV. They are really working hard. There’s the impression that FFXI has made on them and of course the fact that there is a lot of pressure working on a game like FFXIV. Everyone is really giving their all. I think, however, that all that effort wasn’t entirely organized properly before. That’s why I feel it was needed to organize the team first.

4Gamer: Is the newly organized team already at work?

Yoshida: Yes, they are already hard at work.

4Gamer: When do you think we’ll start to see the effects of the shake up?

Yoshida: I really can’t answer that right now. This is just my personality but I try to avoid making hard and fast promises on things I can’t be 100% on. For example, the timing of things or what content we will be offering. So for this interview, there will probably be times where I won’t be able to answer your questions and I hope you understand that. Once we have a work environment where we can release ample updates, I think we can begin to discuss a bigger timeline.

4Gamer: Understood. I’m assuming that, like the December updates, we’ll continue to see content that has been taken over from the old team. I asked my previous question because I’m wondering at what point we’ll start to see things that started with the new team.

Yoshida: Well, as for changes you can see in-game, there are things that were promised to players by the previous team and those have been given priority. We want to stand by those promises. After that, we’ll organize the information we have, look deep into the technological issues we have, and then move on to the next step. I also want to have more conversations with the players. To get that ball going, I’ll be posting another message on January 1st. I hope people look forward to it.

4Gamer: A message on January 1st? Not just the typical New Year’s Greeting but something more?

Yoshida: Of course the annual greeting will be part of it, but it’s also going to be about the keywords that embody what we’ll be working on, the policies of the new team that play into that, and our aspirations for the next year. I just don’t feel it’s right to make promises on top of the promises we’ve already made but haven’t fulfilled yet. That’s why we’ll do what we can right up until the end of the year and then talk about where we’ll be going from there starting with the new year.

4Gamer: Understood. People will want to take a look at your January 1st message. Now I’d like to ask some questions about the game. What is your take on the ratings players have given FFXIV since the official release?

Yoshida: Well, let me start by saying that I started playing the game only after the organizational shake up that occurred in late November, early December.

4Gamer: In other words, you started playing after the first major update which made huge improvements to the interface.

Yoshida: That’s correct. As such, I’ll answer your question but with the understanding that my opinions are not based on the game as it was right after it launched. When an MMORPG launches, there are a lot of things that just expected to be in place. However, the bar of what is considered expected and necessary rises each year.

What I mean by that is this. Games like WoW and FFXI are already established in the marketplace and all new MMORPGs are compared to them. That means the amount of content that is considered to be meeting the bare minimums is actually quite extensive. It’s a pretty extraordinary situation that any new MMORPG, not just those in Japan, faces just to launch. People demand a lot of content right from the beginning, they expect add-ons, etc.

There is also end-game content to think about. You have to decide what it’ll be and how long it’ll take for players to reach it. In the case of FFXIV, there are parts of the game that just weren’t fully developed. Things like the UI, the rules behind different content, the game-specific terminology, how to progress, etc. It’s a game that is hard to understand and hard to play which interferes with any discussion on whether it’s fun or not.

4Gamer: I agree. A lot of the reviews we saw were from people who barely started playing and never really got so far as to be able to discuss the game content. Their reviews were more focused on the other problems like the user interface.

Yoshida: I had the chance to work with Horii Yuji on a game in the Dragon Quest series. One of the first things he said to me was “Before you consider if it’s fun or not, it’s got to be easy to understand!” He taught me that games have to be easy to understand because if the players can’t figure out the rules of the game, it’s hard for them to really decide if it’s interesting or not.

In the case of MMORPGs, the learning curve is especially steep. There is a lot of content that you interact with right from the start and on top of that, there are so many words that players aren’t used to. FFXIV has its own terminology and unique economic system. In addition to the user interface, I also believe it’s critical that we move to make the game itself easier to understand and lower that learning curve.

4Gamer: “If you don’t understand how to play, you can’t decide if it’s fun or not.” I think that really shows what is lacking in FFXIV right now. Which brings me to my next question. When the announcement was made about the new team, you said the free period would be extended “until we can provide a plan that outlines a level of enjoyment that will satisfy both us and our customers.” It sounds like that statement is aimed at the quality of FFXIV. So, exactly what do you feel would get FFXIV to that point?

Yoshida: Of course we will improve the overall quality of the game. However, FFXIV has already been released. On the operations side, we have to be able to hear the voices of our customers, and once we’ve heard them, we have to be in a position where we can respond to them.

4Gamer: What’s that going to take?

Yoshida: For example, if we say something will happen in an update, carrying out that update is a promise to the player base. Like it said in our first team policy message, I place a lot of value in keeping promises. It’s part of who I am.

So back to your original question, I feel that we’ll have reached that point once we’ve developed an system where we listen to the voices of the players and then communicate back what we are going to do, how we are going to do it, and a deadline for when it will be done. We’re not there yet. Right now we are still looking into what we need to do as a team to get to that point. What FFXIV needs right now is for us to keep each and every one of our promises to the player base. There’s no other way for us to regain trust.

http://www.eorzeapedia.com/2010/12/31/4gamer-interview-with-naoki-yoshida-part-1/#more-6316

Already Yoshida has communicated a hell of a lot more than Tanaka and Komoto did in the 5 years of FFXIV's development.

Here's part two.


4Gamer: Next I’d like to ask you about some aspects of the game itself. In an earlier email interview we did, we brought up three problem areas for FFXIV: User Interface, Lag, and Developmental Policies. Now we’d like to ask you about these same three things. First, the UI. After some trial-and-error on the part of players, it seems things have improved quite a bit for people after the November and December updates. However, it seems there are many things that still need to be worked on.

Yoshida: Most likely, I think the players are wondering how we are going to fix all of the problems. First, we need to narrow down our list of things to focus on. There are players at all different levels. We need to pinpoint what their needs are, listen to them, root out the source of the problem, and then start to make our promises to them one by one. That’s what our focus is on, especially for the rest of 2010.

We’ve also continued to work on the update promised to players before the year is over. During that time, the new team members are busy surveying the situation. Come the new year, I think you’ll see us taking the steps to communicate more than ever with players. We’ll make things clear one by one with concrete explanations. Of course, if we make a promise, we’ll keep that promise. Until we are in a position to keep promises, we’ll continue to honestly say, “We don’t know yet.” While it’s important to inspire anticipation and expectations in people, I don’t think that is what we should be doing at this time.

4Gamer: People wonder when things that have been announced will actually be released. The greater the anticipation, the greater the disappointment if it doesn’t happen. I imagine you’ve heard harsh feedback from players who say if you can’t do it, don’t bother announcing things!

Yoshida: Our first move is to regain the trust of our player base. Like any friendship, no matter how close you are, just breaking one promise can cause a lot of damage. If you want to repair the friendship, you have to take it seriously. Once we’ve regained some of that trust, I’d like to talk about our hopes for the future. However, the discussion then becomes one of if we can do it and when it’ll happen.

4Gamer: In the meantime, you have to work hard to gain the trust of the player base by showing how you follow through with things over time. “The proof is in the pudding” so to speak.

Yoshida: Yes, I believe that is our first priority.

4Gamer: Let’s talk about the UI. We often hear from players who wonder why, in a world where the UI in World of Warcraft is so polished, we ended up with what we currently have in FFXIV.

Yoshida: Personally, I feel like we should have taken some pointers from them because I feel FFXIV could benefit from having a UI as easy to understand as the default WoW UI. What’s also helpful for us is the fact that when it all comes down, it’s the players who are going to be striving for a quality UI. Our Development and Operations teams play the game, but they are focused on building things. They can’t compete with the amount of hours a veteran player puts in.

For example, look at WoW. It has an add-on culture. After learning the basics of user interface design from them, I think it’s only inevitable that you start looking at add-ons. However, this isn’t something that started with WoW. If you look at Ultima Online, you’d see that it was players who spread the idea of a special weapon swap user interface for PvP rather than the developers.

4Gamer: You really know your stuff. Without getting into whether it’s good or bad, that add-on culture has been around for a long time. I’m sure there have been examples where the developers took it as feedback and then incorporated it into their own design.

Yoshida: The system in WoW makes it easier for players to pull stats. The official user interface hasn’t really changed all that much since the game was initially released. What’s changed is all under the hood. They’ve taken steps to make it easier to pull certain parameters which makes it easier to create add-ons. That allows the creation of customized user interfaces that are easy for players to use. I think it’s pretty amazing.

I feel if a user interface has been judged as a good one, we should learn from it. Think of it this way. Look at any FPS, whether it’s Call of Duty or one from a completely different company. The controller layout is nearly identical. You don’t need to mess with what works best. I feel that applies to MMORPG UIs too.

4Gamer: Of course you have to think about the actual game content, but it’s also important to make sure that the UI, which connects players to the game, is the best it can be. Even if there are some improvements made on controllers or gamepads, the base is still the same.

Yoshida: I don’t think you should mess with things players are already familiar with. Staying with the familiar makes the game easier to understand and doesn’t force players to spend time reading their manuals.

4Gamer: It’s the same with the way keys are bound on keyboards. There is already a basic layout that anybody who has touched an MMORPG before would be familiar with, something that’s been passed down from EverQuest.

Yoshida: I agree. There is a default layout for RPGs and a default layout for FPSs. From there, you choose the way you want to bind the keys and the players are free to customize the keys the way they want.

4Gamer: It really feels that level of keyboard customization is lacking in FFXIV. The controller didn’t seem that way though.

Yoshida: If you compare your typical PC-based MMORPG with how FFXIV is set up now, I think you’d find it lacking. Square Enix had success with FFXI but that was built for the PS2. That’s why you see this culture of controller-based play being used in FFXIV. They probably felt that it would be fine.

4Gamer: But this time, the PC version came first.

Yoshida: Correct. Of course, we’re working on the PS3 version, but it ended up feeling like development was based the other way around.

4Gamer: It really seems like people who play with a controller and people who play mainly with a keyboard have totally different opinions of the game. For the controller group, even if they have a lot to say about other things, they still seem to enjoy themselves. However, the keyboard/mouse users complain of having a lot of difficulties playing. This is why I began to feel that it is really necessary for a complete UI overall.

Yoshida: That’s exactly why we’ve brought Minagawa on board. Knowing my personality, if I started to work on it, I probably wouldn’t spend time looking at anything else. (laugh) Minagawa feels that he can make a UI second to none so I think he’ll be hard at work hammering out improvements.

4Gamer: I’m looking forward to further improvements to the UI. Now on to the topic of lag. Compared with before, there is remarkable improvement. However, at around the same time the cities were divided over two servers, another problem popped up.

Yoshida: That’s a technical problem. When the new team was announced, you might have seen that Yoshihisa Hashimoto was added as our Technical Advisor. He’s working on debugging all those problems.

For developers, their work environment is much like a weapon. For example, no matter how skilled the warrior, you can’t expect great results if you only give him a bamboo spear. You want to give your great warriors things like rocket launchers, powerful weapons. We had Hashimoto join our team with the hope that he’ll be building up our work environment and the technology that supports it. I think that will help us take care of some of these issues, like the one you mentioned, quickly. It’s a pretty big problem so we’ll use the resources available company-wide to solve it.
(*Technical Advisor Yoshihisa Hashimoto is in charge of the next generation of game engines)

4Gamer: I imagine it’s tough going through all the code that’s been written so far but I have high hopes. Now, let’s move on to the last of the three topics I want to ask you about, Development and Operation Policies. I’m really curious what kind of policies changes have been made now that we have a new team in place.

Yoshida: I’m not really big on policies. Like, oh, it was done this way before, so let’s change it like this, and because I’m thinking X, go do it, etc. I’m more for watching how things go. If plan A is good for how things are now, you do that. Once you’ve met your goals, you switch to plan B. You have to be flexible enough to change your tactics in accordance with the situation. That’s why rather than comparing what we are doing differently, I think we should just look at what we should be working on right now at this point in time.

4Gamer: So basically, you don’t want to say “FFXIV = THIS!”. Instead, you change how you will respond based on how things are at that time.

Yoshida: That’s how it will be. That’s why, like I mentioned before, our big “policy” right now is just regaining the trust of our players and customers.

4Gamer: I think a lot of players are wondering how FFXIV will change now that a new team is in place.

Yoshida: The first thing is to make the content easier to understand for the players. There is a lot of content in FFXIV. I think the development team worked desperately to put as much content into the game as they did, and I think it was enough for a releasable product. However, because of putting too much energy into different parts, it came hard to understand overall.

4Gamer: Which then leads to this feeling like all the storylines aren’t connected?

Yoshida: I think so. Every word, every quest line, needs to be woven in and out properly for the players’ sake. However, for the players that continue to play right now, there is a good chance that they’ve already leveled up a bit, understand the game better, learned from helping other adventurers, and have already gotten past the hardest part of the learning curve. Those players are likely going to start asking for end-game content. The feedback we’ve gotten from players is already quite different depending on their character’s level and the amount of time they’ve played. You can’t lump all players together.

4Gamer: What players ask for is naturally going to vary depending on how far along they are in the game.

Yoshida: That’s why I think there are two ways we can go about deciding what should be in the updates first. The first way is to make the initial parts easier for the player to understand so they can get a better understanding of what FFXIV is all about. The other is to give the players something to look forward to by adding additional content. However, I think there is a lot of risk in trying to do both things at the same time. That’s why we can’t focus on how we’ll change things. First, I want to see the faces of the players, hear their voices, and brainstorm together about if we should head straight down one path, take alternate paths, or maybe even find a better option.

4Gamer: Understood. Moving on, with all of the updates and server maintenance we’ve had, it kind of makes you wonder about the bugs you come across. It makes me worry about the QA Team and if they are doing ok.

Yoshida: Square Enix has put a lot of energy into their QA Team. However, we promised people a schedule that turned out to be very tough. Development and adjustments were made right up to the last minute. That meant that the QA Team didn’t get enough time to do their job properly.

So when we promise an update, we have to first check how realistic that schedule is. We have to give players the chance to just enjoy the game and not cause additional problems for them. I think if we can do that, we can solve the problems facing us one by one and really turn things around.

When you play an MMORPG, there needs to be more punch to it, especially at the beginning of service. So first, we have to create that for FFXIV, which means first solving all the problems.

4Gamer: So the strict schedule is to blame for the bugs that fell through the cracks. I’ll have to agree that there have been quite a lot of updates in a short amount of time. However, looking not just at FFXIV, but many other games, I think there are bugs that players are able to weed out because they are playing it for real versus in a test situation.

In our previous email interview, we asked if you would consider setting up public test servers. The answer we got pretty much shot down that idea. Now with a new team in place, I’d like to ask the question again. Are you considering a public test server? Perhaps even one that is only available for a limited time frame and tests for specific things like game balance?

Yoshida: Yes, we are considering it. Given my history playing various western style MMORPGs, I understand the desire for a test server.

4Gamer: Public test servers are standard practice for western MMORPGs after all.

Yoshida: Yes. I’ve heard stories where they prepare a test server that can handle 3000 people only to have 100 log in each day. The conclusion people have come to is that there won’t be many people who will actually test things. However, I think that’s fine. I look at test servers like this. The top hierarchy of players are already thinking about the game’s future, they give us feedback, and then they share that with other players like a speaker would. That’s really important not just for development or operations but for players as well. I’d really like to implement a test server but I can’t make any promises as to when that would happen.

4Gamer: So what I’m hearing from you is that a test server is possible. Within this interview, you’ve often said you want to hear the voice of the players. I think this counts as part of that.

Yoshida: I’d hope that people would consider it part of us trying to have close communication with players. Another part is what we see overseas, where players and developers communicate directly on forums. In the past, it was places like the Vault Network Board. Recently, it’s officially run forums from the game company itself.

However, even though it would be great if we could create a forum or BBS, this is a global production and we can’t prepare something like that right away. I would like to work quickly towards that though. Like with the test servers, you can’t just have them there. There has to be a way to get their feedback back to the developers. That’s why we have to start smaller. I think you’ll see our desire to promote communication within our first message of the year.
*The Vault Network Board is a forum run by IGN

(*Translation Note: I have never played WoW so I have no experience with the history of the game or how development changed over time. If something sounds funny, let me know.)

http://www.eorzeapedia.com/2011/01/01/4gamer-interview-with-naoki-yoshida-part-2/

Enjoy!

nirojan
01-03-2011, 06:28 PM
nice hope things get smoothed over before the PS3 launch!

Loony BoB
01-03-2011, 07:31 PM
Aye, submitted my thoughts as soon as I got the email. Good to see they really captured the major concerns quite well in the poll. They actually utter the words 'Auction House' openly, which is a good sign. But my votes mainly focused on content more than anything.

That interview was a very long-winded affair for something that basically said "Yeah, we're listening, I've played lots of MMO's and I understand how they can and should work, and I want to listen to players before I say anything." Which isn't bad, but they could have said that in so fewer words. :p

Rostum
01-05-2011, 12:01 AM
That interview was a very long-winded affair for something that basically said "Yeah, we're listening, I've played lots of MMO's and I understand how they can and should work, and I want to listen to players before I say anything." Which isn't bad, but they could have said that in so fewer words. :p

Haha, I guess.

I'm just more glad for them to go to the other extreme from answering "We can't tell you" to questions we already know the answers to.

Del Murder
01-05-2011, 02:20 AM
I like the direction they are going in. The time for talk is soon ending though, so let's see if they can put their money where their mouth is.

Ouch!
01-05-2011, 04:47 AM
nice hope things get smoothed over before the PS3 launch!
It's looking more like they won't bother releasing a PS3 version until everything has smoothed over. Smart move on their part, certainly.

Mirage
01-08-2011, 03:36 AM
I'm thinking they'll use the PS3 launch to help the PC version regain momentum as well, so everything needs to be really good before they release the PS3 version.

Ouch!
01-09-2011, 12:51 AM
The PS3 launch is their second chance at a first impression with the critics. If they don't blow people away, the game is done.

Loony BoB
01-09-2011, 12:23 PM
More like the game is going to have the fans it has. I don't see them canning it altogether due to it being a numbered FF. Even if they get quarter their anticipated subscriptions, I'm sure they would still end up making more money by keeping it up and running than they would by canning it and wasting all their investment. Wouldn't the cost of continuing it's maintenance will be far lower than the original creation of the game?

Ouch!
01-09-2011, 08:10 PM
More like the game is going to have the fans it has. I don't see them canning it altogether due to it being a numbered FF. Even if they get quarter their anticipated subscriptions, I'm sure they would still end up making more money by keeping it up and running than they would by canning it and wasting all their investment. Wouldn't the cost of continuing it's maintenance will be far lower than the original creation of the game?

But will it be enough to justify the continued development of additional content? Will we ever see real expansions? How many people will stick around if they haven't made the game significantly better by the time they start charging for it? The game collapsing is a very real possibility.

Loony BoB
01-10-2011, 01:26 PM
I honestly just don't see it happening, even if they have to completely start over from scratch. They won't let a numbered FF fall over - that's a commitment they've made by calling it FFXIV. They simply can't afford to let that game title fall into dust. Certainly not until at least a year has passed by.

The game itself isn't terrible at the moment by any means. It needs a little bit of tweaking here and there and it really genuinely needs content by the bucketload. The fact that it needs content so much is exactly why expansions will happen. You can't even go into Ishgard at the moment (the equivalent of not being able to go into Jeuno in FFXI). You just roam between the starter cities and that's it. The room for additional content it so insane that it's inevitable that it will come. They'll just keep plugging into FFXIV until people are really enjoying it and then out will come the PS3 release - along with a fresh push on advertising and new reviews undoubtedly being made at the time - and then we'll see if it's going to fall over. Only then!

Ouch!
01-10-2011, 04:36 PM
I know I might not have the best ground to stand on having not yet played the title, but I think you're being a bit naïve. The game has had declining populations across all servers despite the fact that there has yet to be any monthly fee. Maybe you're satisfied with a majority of the game so far, but to me it looks like the majority of the player base feels differently. Apparently so many people think the game is so bad that they won't play even when it's free. That suggests to me that there are fundamental problems that need to be addressed beyond simply content patches.

If SE were to decide the game was "ready" and start charging before the players agree, I think the consequences could be disastrous. I do not think calling it Final Fantasy XIV is enough for the company to wage a losing battle. Square Enix really only has one shot to turn this around. If they miss that chance, I don't think it matters how much they want it to succeed, and at a certain point it will not be financially viable to continue to pour money into a gaping hole of a project.

Loony BoB
01-10-2011, 05:04 PM
Oh, I'm not satisfied. There's a reason I only log in once every 2-3 weeks. But going by a poll with the same options given above and hundreds of responses (basically a sample to see what people are saying in the official FFXIV poll), most people are simply after more content over anything else. The foundations of the game are fine. Most people I've spoken to that have played the game are happy with the world itself, the graphics, the general idea. There are a few things that they are not happy with which can all be fixed, and that is the biggest point, they can be fixed.

1. Content. This is something that will take time to do but it certainly will only be helped rather than hindered by continuing to keep the game open over time. The longer it's open, the more content they feed into the game.
2. Combat system. Basically this surrounds the balancing of how combat runs. For me, this isn't much of a big deal outside of how SP is gained, which seems to be the general consensus. This is something that will naturally be improved as the developers perfect the exp/sp balancing, which is normal for an MMO (from what I'm being told) at this age.
3. Class identity. This is one that is interesting because you can effectively create a class simply by playing many classes and gathering up the skills from each and then using them together. However people seem much more keen on a more direct class for each type. They want a tank class, a nuking class, a healer class, etc. They want them to be obvious. I can understand this and feel it can be fixed but it would take a significant change. Not huge, though, but it would be difficult to say the least and I'm interested in seeing how they do it.
4. Guildleves. People don't like them, certainly not as they are. They are basically whatever the opposite of 'involving' is called. You don't feel part of the game. To have all your quests picked up from the same person is annoying, to have so many NPCs but none of them having a purpose is frustrating, etc. I would be delighted if they removed the guildmasters (or whatever they're called) altogether in favour of picking up guildleves from various individuals throughout the game. A significant change, definitely. A fairly huge one. Still doable, absolutely. But we'll see what happens there. This is perhaps a bigger complaint for me in particular than most people. :p I hate them.
5. Auction House. People want one. I can understand this and I'm sure it's coming since it was specifically acknowledged in the FFXIV poll. Just a matter of time.
6. User Interface. People want further improvements, although everyone seems to acknowledge that this has already come a very long way and isn't so much an issue now. It's still not on par with other PC MMO's but people seem understanding when they consider that people have to be able to use it with a PS3 controller. Many already do via a USB cable, and they seem to think it's all fine.
7. Chat systems. People want the game to be more social and they want interfaces to allow this. I'm interested in seeing how that is implemented, but haven't read enough to say what exactly people want. They all talk about a variety of things.

Everything else seems to be not so big a deal from what feedback I'm getting from reading FFXIVCore/Eorzeapedia/FFXIVPro.

So yeah, definitely a case of something that can be solved. Of those five, number #1 is definitely going to kick in, #2 is obviously going to be looked at, #3 & #4 are more interesting as to whether anything will be done, #5 is something many people see as inevitable, #6 is improving constantly and the devs say it will continue to do so, and #7 I don't know much about. But things are definitely fixable.

The population issue is something which will only be made better when the game improves enough. For me I think it will come down to content. Everyone wants the game to do well, though, and I remember when the Christmas update came out the population seemed quite good on Lindblum, perhaps because everyone was coming back to try the new version out and take on the NM's. Either way, we'll just have to wait and see, but I definitely think that the game won't be thrown into the dustbin until at the very least Ishgard goes live, let alone any other content they have up their sleeves (those six outposts still have zero content, and I'd reckon that over 90% of the city NPC population has no related content either).

The lore suggests there will be a lot more going on, and I'm only at rank 19 so haven't even got halfway through the storyline as yet.

EDIT: Found the survey results. :) http://www.kwiksurveys.com/results-overview.php?surveyID=HBMNIN_d35f9a7a&mode=4

EDIT: I do agree at some point it will not be financially viable - however I do think that the game will be playable for at least 12 months from now. SE numbered the game and therefore they will not tolerate failure that soon when they still have that valuable "PS3 release" card up their sleeve to allow for an effective second round of obtaining reviews, fans and income.