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The climacteric turning points of WWII are the battles of Moscow and Stalingrad. I don't want to insult Western people , but in 1944 , when Allies commenced "Overlord", there was no doubt that Germany would be defeated by Russia
In 1942 Germany had more than 5 millions excellent soldires in Russia ( compare it with just several divisions in Africa at the same time ).
By the beggining of 1944 most of that troops were smashed by Soviet Army, and in Normandy US faced just a ghost of German army ( even there,best German units were engaged in massacre battles with British and Canadians ).
So, "Overlord" would be impossible without Russia.