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Besides, as has already been pointed out, probability is irrelevant where evolution is concerned.
If we were formed by intelligent design and then evolved yes. (some creationists believe this, I don't think it has any serious evidence) Otherwise probability is still up in the open.
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No, there would need to be science for it to be a scientific theory, or science at all. Inserting miracles negates any possibility of it being taken seriously.
If by miracles you mean the creation of matter, lets put it this way. Evolutionists do not have an answer for this, it cannot be understood by science. We do not consider this part to be science unless it is proven that it happened. (which is what I'm trying to get at)
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That theory's been around in scientific circles for a long time - the big bang theory specifically states that there was a beginning to time, matter, and space itself. It's not a perfect theory either - otherwise it would explain why it seems that the universe's expansion is accellerating rather then decelerating, among other things, but it's a good start with plenty of evidence, both mathmatical and observational.
I've heard ideas about why it is accelerating, but I've forgotten them. (maybe I'll look it up)
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And most of that evidence lies in DNA. For instance, the fact that human and chimpanzee DNA is 95-99% identical. (I can't remember the exact figure.)
Similar DNA is not very good evidence for evolution. That is like me writing two different computer programs and having them look similar. (creationist standpoint)
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Until you factor quantum physics. Under quantum physics, as I am led to understand it, everything involves probability and uncertainty; under quantum physics, literally anything is possible, though most of it is extraordinarily unlikely.
In mathematical proofs the only uncertainty is in it's premises. Otherwise it is like deductive logic. So if you were talking about general relativity you could try to argue that, but the proof itself has no uncertainty.