This is a game I have devised to determine the Ultimate Winner.
The rules are simple:
1. <strong>The person who posts in this thread LAST is the Ultimate Winner.</strong> Once exactly 24 hours pass with no replies to this thread, as of that moment the person with the last post in this thread will be declared the Ultimate Winner and the game will be ended.
2. <strong>One post per person.</strong> If you post in this thread more than once, you are the Ultimate Loser, and you're disqualified. If you post more than once, none of your posts count at all, except to declare you the Ultimate Loser. This means you can't keep spamming up the thread to keep other people from winning, because none of your posts will matter. More than one person can be the Ultimate Loser; everyone who posts twice or more receives this title of shame.
3. <strong>No cheating by staffers.</strong> How sad that I even need such a rule. But if you close the thread to prevent people from posting, or delete the posts of people after you, or anything of that sort, then not only are you the Ultimate Loser, but also your descendants, yea, even to the seventh generation.
4. <strong>No second accounts.</strong> I hope no one would stoop to this, but people nowadays, sheesh. If there are any other nasty ways of cheating that I can't think of, I reserve the right to disqualify people at will for being a jerkface.
5. <strong>If no one else posts, I win by default.</strong> But none of my posts after this one matter.
For those with a short attention span, you can stop reading here. Have at you.
(If you do post, post something interesting. Don't just say "MRRRRRRRRRR DRRRRRRRRRR I POESTED". Perhaps guess who will be the first attention whore and/or person who didn't read the rules that posts twice.)
(Staffers, this game is the very opposite of spam, in that to play you have to post as LITTLE as possible, so I hope you'll leave my thread open and not close it and make me cry. )
So, what is the best strategy to win this game? It is a game fiendishly clever in its intricacies.
Clearly at first glance the best strategy is to wait. The longer you wait, the more chance you have of winning. If you waste your post early, you will be more likely to lose. However if everyone played the game by that strategy, everyone would wait forever, and I would win.
So maybe the best strategy is to assume everyone else is playing by the above strategy, and to go ahead and post. If everyone else waits forever, and you post, you will win. But what if everyone adopts THAT strategy? What if everyone assumes everyone else is waiting, and people post assuming they'll beat the system? Then it turns out waiting would really have been the wise choice after all.
Maybe after someone posts, you plan to wait until almost 1 day has passed, and then post yourself, so as to "snipe" the prize. But once you post, people have a whole day to snipe YOU. And so maybe it's best to wait and hope someone else snipes someone else, and then you can snipe them. But what if everyone waits and the day time limit passes? Then the game is over, and you have lost.
Maybe you will wait for a cool-down period, since there are likely to be many posts right away, and fewer over time as fewer people remain to play. Maybe you plan to wait for the thread to disappear from the front page and then post hoping everyone else forgot the game. But you never know if other people are doing the same thing, and don't wait too long or you may forget about it yourself.
You must also remember that some people are going to post impulsively. Some people will post randomly because they have no strategy and want to win but don't or can't think of how to do it. So maybe all thought of strategy is in vain, and random posting has as much chance of winning as anything else.
Perhaps you will plot out the rate of people posting over time, and attempt to extrapolate the point where it's best to post yourself? In that case you are even more of a nerd than I am, and you are a winner in your own right.
Maybe the fact that I'm pointing all these strategies will itself help determine your strategy? Everyone knows at least this much now. Maybe there is a strategy I'm not thinking of, better than all of these?
Just remember, to have ANY chance of winning, you have to post eventually...
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You could never prove a staff member posted or any other member for that matter because it's possible for us to delete posts from the database. -Yamaneko
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Maybe I'm taking systematic backups of the database at regular intervals. Did you ever think of that? --Unne