This assumes that neither get kicked out of the championship as a result of the spying investigation currently underway in the FIA and the WMSC. And of course, Ron Dennis, McClaren's boss, might also get done by the Italian police at some point in relation to this issue.

I'd love Hamilton to win, but the last few races he seems to have lost the spark he started off with, so unless something catastrophic happens to Alonso and unless Hamilton avoids incidence (real bad luck about the tyre over in turkey though) and nothing else happens to the team overall, I can see Alonso winning the championship... If McClaren and their drivers get chucked out, Raikkonen will win easily.