Cyan:
So here are some things I'm thinking.
Ignus very well COULD be playing a "do unlike mafia" mafia strategy. Attempting to demonstrate how unlike mafia his/her posts have been to "prove" that s/he isn't mafia when s/he really is. However, the one thing that leads me to seriously doubt that strategy is Ignus' lack of divisive argument. Ignus isn't trying to split the obvious allies apart, s/he isn't jumping at everything said against him/her and s/he definitely isn't going through arguments piece by piece. A person who goes through another person's argument piece by piece to prove/disprove something clearly has something big to lose through playing this game. The fact that Ignus didn't do that makes me believe s/he really is just trying to flush out a mafia.
It's always difficult to flush out a mafia in the first round, because they haven't done anything or opened up any clues yet. Everyone has a different opinion and a different strategy for the first day. Most people just wait around to see who the loud ones are voting for. Even so, we should still attempt to analyze everyone's posts closely.
So let's do that now, starting with the most popular vote.
IGNUS
Jumpstarted the game, which usually gets some flack. Not quite this much though. It especially seems odd that so many people who haven't said much period have suddenly jumped on him within such a short amount of time. Leaping on the wounded gazelle, maybe? Taking the easy kill for day 1? Perhaps. Ignus really hasn't done a great job at defending him/herself but that's primarily because there IS no defense this early in the game. S/He can't point out good points s/he's made because there's no evidence period. Which is why I still say we shouldn't ever lynch on day 1 unless we're given some evidence! Coupled with my previous statements about Ignus, I agree that s/he is putting him/herself in a suspicious light, but I think s/he isn't what we're looking for.
VIVI
I think Vivi is just employing the easiest strategy at this time. Vote for someone. That isn't suspicious, it's just what you have to do. What IS suspicious are those that are voting for Vivi and talking about how suspicious he is. What? How can you be suspicious if you haven't really done anything? Lots of people in the past have voted randomly on day 1. Hell, most people vote randomly on day 1 and a lot of people in this thread voted randomly before Ignus, Edgar and others started talking way a lot. So why is Vivi suspicious? I say s/he isn't. I say the people voting are looking for a scapegoat. This also applies to votes for Irvine and Aeris. Aeris hasn't even done anything! What's so suspicious about them? Nothing. This my suspicions for Freya, Faris, Auron and Terra.
But my number one suspect right now is Rydia.
RYDIA
1 - In every mafia game I've ever played, there has always been 1 person to get everyone talking. We don't ever just start finding suspicious people by ourselves, someone has to put themselves out there and make a bold, unsubstantiated statement. The fact that Ignus immediately retracted his vote doesn't seem to matter much to Rydia. Shouldn't that figure into Rydia's thought process? Because it apparently doesn't.
2 - Ignus does NOT claim to know the current mafia strategy. It seems like Rydia is attempting to mislead people, because that statement simply isn't true. Ignus is trying to base his/her thought process on what past mafias did. That's pretty plain. Rydia is trying to tell all of you that Ignus claims to KNOW, when the only thing Ignus ever did was try to deduce present mafia strategy from the commonalities of past mafias.
3 - 5 aren't very good reasons or points, but 3 is indisputable and 4 & 5 are matters of opinion.
However, the smoking gun for Rydia, in my opinion is the following:
Didn't lose much? How can Rydia possible know that? This could be our cop. Ignus could be any number of good things. We don't know Ignus' role. Besides that, even if we were all vanilla, losing 1 townie is a blow to all townies. It brings us 1 step closer to losing. And besides that, losing Ignus would take away 1 townie who is actually talking and reasoning their way through things. We might have a WHOLE lot to lose if Ignus dies. But Rydia doesn't think so. Rydia apparently thinks we don't lose much. Rydia might think that because Rydia won't lose much. Because maybe Rydia is mafia. I'm not claiming s/he is. I'm just saying Rydia is probably the most suspicious person in my mind. Thus:
##Vote: Rydia
And no hard feelings anyone, k?




