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Thread: $200 Million Too Much? Sure Is!

  1. #46
    I'm selling these fine leather jackets Aerith's Knight's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Ceej View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Aerith's Knight View Post
    So you can't always walk out more out of a casino, except for exceptional good luck.
    Someone needs to watch me gamble.

    I won't tell you my strategy at Roulette, because if it gets out, people will beat Roulette and they'll close the tables down. That's my game. I can't let that happen.
    I know what you do, I know about statistical gambling.

    Put 10 on red, if red loses, put 20 on red.

    Double until you win. Then start over. All you need is lots of cash to begin with.

    Problem though, 0 and 00. That is why I said the casino always wins if you keep playing.

    Not to mention that there is a raise limit and therefore there is a chance you'll lose it all.


  2. #47

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    wth? The ceej does have a point here, folks.

    The buy in of a dollar never changes, the reward does. The odds of number matches never changes.

    I think the missing link is the odds of being the only winner slim down, cutting the jackpot to a shared benefit.

    However, if you ignore that - your odds stay the same, and the benefit vs the buy in change. This is intuitive to many people, as long as they don't get stuck on logic.

    It is a gambling trick of the trade. Don't believe me, buy most any 30 dollar how to gamble book out there. It gets a little more in depth, but I feel it should make enough sense.

    It is like say, ah, the jackpot is only 100 thousand dollars. I am not paying a buck. Then throwing in a dollar when it is worth a MEGACRAPgillion. Odds, mathematically are one thing. Odds to a gambler, are a bit different. I think lines are getting crossed here.

    By the way, damn these numbers ceej!

  3. #48
    I'm selling these fine leather jackets Aerith's Knight's Avatar
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    I just noticed a possiblemistake in the calculation. xD

    1/(55/5) * 1/(54/4) * 1/(53/3) * 1/(52/2) * 1/(51/1) = 1/55 *1/11 * 1/13.5 * 1/17.666 * 1/26 * 1/51 = 3.478.759

    So it's 1 : 3.478.759

    Then the powerball.. * 42

    Quote Originally Posted by wikipedia
    and one additional number from 1 to 42
    So the odds would be: 1 : 146.107.906.9
    Last edited by Aerith's Knight; 09-28-2008 at 10:13 PM.


  4. #49
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aerith's Knight View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by The Ceej View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Aerith's Knight View Post
    So you can't always walk out more out of a casino, except for exceptional good luck.
    Someone needs to watch me gamble.

    I won't tell you my strategy at Roulette, because if it gets out, people will beat Roulette and they'll close the tables down. That's my game. I can't let that happen.
    I know what you do, I know about statistical gambling...
    You couldn't be more wrong if your name were W. Wrongy Wronginstein.

    No one knows what my strategy is because it would be in a book somewhere if people knew about it. The books I read say that the only way to win at Roulette is to get lucky, but they haven't seen me play.


  5. #50
    Will be banned again Roto13's Avatar
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    Oh please.

  6. #51

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    Quote Originally Posted by The Ceej View Post
    You couldn't be more wrong if your name were W. Wrongy Wronginstein.

    No one knows what my strategy is because it would be in a book somewhere if people knew about it. The books I read say that the only way to win at Roulette is to get lucky, but they haven't seen me play.
    Just so you know, the only way to win Roulette is with luck. Roulette is a game of chance, not skill.

  7. #52
    I'm selling these fine leather jackets Aerith's Knight's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yaridovich View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by The Ceej View Post
    You couldn't be more wrong if your name were W. Wrongy Wronginstein.

    No one knows what my strategy is because it would be in a book somewhere if people knew about it. The books I read say that the only way to win at Roulette is to get lucky, but they haven't seen me play.
    Just so you know, the only way to win Roulette is with luck. Roulette is a game of chance, not skill.
    You can keep bragging that you always win, but propability physics say that winning keep 1:2, 1:36, etc on what you bet.

    The only way to win is to do as I said and keep doubling, which would work.

    And it would always be spoiled by 0 and 00.

    Now be deflate your head. Smarter men than you have tried to beat the system and failed.


  8. #53
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    You're telling me that I'm just lucky, then?

    Really, now? I'm that lucky where I can't stop making a profit at Roulette? Either that or you're calling me a liar. Not like I care, though. Your disbelief doesn't stop me from winning.

    The odds of my strategy are as follows:

    16% chance to win.
    47% chance to break even.
    37% chance to lose.

    Keep playing long term and the odds say you'll always come out ahead.


  9. #54
    Will be banned again Roto13's Avatar
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    So I guess you live in a diamond-encrusted mansion with golden penguin butlers? Because last I heard, you do not live the life of someone with an unlimited source of income.

    So yeah. You're full of crap.

  10. #55

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    probability only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades; and that is if you are the pole.

  11. #56
    I'm selling these fine leather jackets Aerith's Knight's Avatar
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    Unless you share this magnificent secret of yours, stop bragging talking.

    And I wouldn't be suprised if it's something like: "Distract the employee and grab some free fishes."


  12. #57

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    Whatever. If you're that confident in your "abilities," why don't you go take all your money and defeat Vegas?

  13. #58
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    I have one rule with gambling:

    Never wager the winnings. That means you have to have an unlimited source of income to do what you guys are claiming anyway. It's fun. It's a game. It's not life.

    And to those wishing I would share it, I have no interest in destroying Roulette which is what would happen if I did. Now get the smurf off my back.


  14. #59
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    Hey guys have you seen my awesome technique at winning in poker at the casinos

    I get my hand and place bets depending on how confident I am with it, then if I win I get the money

    Hell yeah bitches


    there was a picture here

  15. #60

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    Wow, flame guy that possibly knows something you don't.

    Take that progressive science.

    And I have a hand that beats all at poker, a Smith&Weston.

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