Eisenberg is great, but Garfield has been unfairly overlooked. As for Nolan, as I said before, he's seen as a popcorn peddler, and is being snubbed for it (a bit like how the Academy tends to ignore comic actors until they do a serious role, unless they're Jim Carrey in which case tough luck).

The King's Speech won the Producers Guild Award which often correlates with the Best Film choice at the Oscars, so maybe it's not a walkover for Fincher's film. It and The Social Network are the only contenders really for Best Film (I'm not daft enough to think Black Swan will actually win) anyway. They could always split Best Film and Best Director. I'd prefer The Social Network to win, but I wouldn't mind The King's Speech winning, it's certainly better than Forrest Gump beating Shawshank/Pulp Fiction or Rocky beating Taxi Driver or A Beautiful Mind winning anything at all.