Quote Originally Posted by Bolivar View Post
Can we overlap? I do think Chrom's going to be in it.
Eh... I don't think you're getting the thread. This is a betting game where you're supposed to post all the newcomers you personally think are highly likely to be in SSB4, it's not a combined list. So if someone posted a newcomer you also think is highly likely, you add them to your list as well.

The rules can be simplified as follows :

•Start with 100 points
•Guess who you think will be new characters. Do not guess characters who you think will leave
•Guess a character correctly = +10 points (+20 for 3rd Parties, +2 for 6th Pokemon Gen Placeholder spot, see opening post for rules on Pokemon Trainer type newcomers)
•Guess a character wrong = -10 points (-20 for 3rd Parties)
•Don't guess a character and the character is in = -5 points
•If you join after some new character reveals have been made = -5 points for each new character
•Person with most points "wins"

3rd Parties are higher risk, higher reward because they're harder to predict if they'll be in Super Smash Bros. compared to Nintendo owned characters. Sakurai, the director for all Smash Bros. games, even said he'd try to keep the number of 3rd Party characters down so the focus stays on Nintendo.

I should also mention that Sakurai also said SSB4 won't be as newcomer heavy as Melee or Brawl, just so you don't bet on too many characters and lose a lot of points for incorrect guesses.

So to see how points work, let's use this as an example:

Newcomer Guesses: Shulk, Mega Man, Palutena, Lloyd
Actual Revealed SSB4 Newcomers: Shulk, Takamaru, Mega Man, Pac-Man

So everyone starts off at 100. This person would get +10 for correctly guessing Shulk and +20 for correctly guessing Megaman . He'd also lose -10 each for incorrectly guessing Palutena and -20 for correctly guessing Lloyd. And since Takamaru and Pac-Man are in the final roster, and this person didn't guess that Takamaru and Pac-Man would be in, he'd lose -5 for each.

100 (Initial)
+10 (Shulk)
+20 (Mega Man)
-10 (Palutena)
-20 (Lloyd)
-5 (Takamaru)
-5 (Pac-Man)
----------------------
90 (Final Score)

So basically, you'll only want to bet on characters you think are highly likely to be in SSB4.