As Mr. Carny said, it's definitely fishy, and because it is a Captain America film and he is the lead role, he is the protagonist of the film so I'd find it likely his position to be the correct one.
Having said that, if they then throw a curveball and it turns out that Captain America has been wrong the entire time, that'd be something. I do wonder how the whole Bucky thing will turn out. I can't say I was particularly enamored with that sub-plot in The Winter Soldier, if I have to be honest.





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