Quote Originally Posted by [M] Yukari View Post
Aigis, you clearly ignore the fact that by lynching a Townie will result in Day 2, 9 players remain which means 5 votes is majority. In this case Mafia will have 3 of those 5 votes effectively controlling lynching. You have less than 30% chance of lynching Mafia on Day 1.
I agree with Shinjiro on this. Ultimately, this is not a game of random chance. To view it solely from the perspective of probabilities is folly as it's only a game of probabilities of we all select our votes at random. Being aware of the math is important, but to rely solely on it is not a logical decision.