So I've been thinking about this, and really, if I was Pained, my strategy would be pretty stupid.

Either I am correct in who I think the witches are, they get lynched and then.... I lose

OR they aren't witches, innocent people die, suddenly extra people are being killed at night and I'm the only one who has role claimed and no one trusts me anymore after like tonight and then... I lose

I mean I get that I'm not the most brilliant tactician but I'm also not an idiot, come on guys