As I see it, the past was never changed, not by Ulti, not by Ellone. Ultimecia sent her consciousness in the past (possessed Edea/Adel) to fine Ellone and kill the SeeD that were destined t destroy her. (because think of it, since Ulti is from the future, she KNOWS Squall and company will fight and defeat her, they're heroes after all) That failed. Squall and company STILL defeated her.
Ellone's attempts were not to causeRaine to marry Laguna (hich had already happened) but to make sure Laguna wasn't gone when Squall was born and Raine died. She too failed.
Why? Because of fate. FFVIII doesn't work with' parallel universes and paradoxes' If you timetravel your timetravelling wll CAUSE your present. If Squall and such hadn't been sent back in time, Laguna and company might very well have ded. (Their presence with Guardian forces improves Laguna's fighting. Relmember that he says patrol should be easy because 'the faeries are here'?) So the reason Laguna's stor went as it went was because Squall was there. Ellone's time travel didn't change anything, because, in a twisty way, it had already been done all those years ago.
As for R=U... I support the theory, but I know discussing it may convince some people but is still an oppinion. But still, exchanging oppinions is FUN, no?
edit: Oh yeah, someone mentioned that if R=U, shouldn't U die as soon as R is dead when you lose? Answer: Yeah. Just like Squall should vansh into thin air if Laguna dies in the early flash backs if Squall si Laguna's son (and we all believe THAT don't we?). A game over causes temporal paradoxes, and as this game seems to go with the 'you CAN'T cause those' theory, that means that in the PROPER story, you CAN'T get a game over... but that would make for a sucky game.
edit 2: Hmmm, interesting page that. Put a lot of thought and work into this. Never even thought of he Mausoleum thing, though it's circumstantial. (I do hope I spelled that right)



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