The reason monsters went into Winhill was cause there was no men to protect it, I believe Raine said that herself. THAT is proof. Laguna then patrols the town and rids the town of the nuisances, after that no more monsters. Simple as that.
Of course there will be monsters in Esthar! A freakin moon "Tear" full of monsters landed right next to it!

The monsters do this pariodically, no one is controlling it ( no, not Odine or Hyne ). I believe the Tutorial explains this clearly...
So there is some solid in-game proof for ya. Someone besides FE tell me if I'm wrong...
