Quote Originally Posted by Bolivar View Post
Quote Originally Posted by Vivi22 View Post
Early reports put the failure rate at 20-30%, but most recent estimates I've seen put it at anywhere between 30-50% or possibly even higher. So assuming 50%, you really are pretty much flipping a coin since your odds of picking the right face of the coin are as good as getting a bum 360. But if you don't like that then we can assume 30% and say you have as much chance of picking two numbers on a six sided die and having them show up on a roll as you do getting a defective 360.

You won't get odds that good in Vegas.
Recent surveys have put it at somewhere between 50% (Game Informer) and 60% (CNET) but those are just surveys by gaming publications so I'm sure their methodologies aren't on par with the best. But I know personally myself that everyone I know who has had a 360 has had it red ring on them multiples times, nearly all of whom have gone on to buy Elites in the last 2 years which have red ringed as well.

I honestly don't know how to take the assurance that the newer generation/model/batch of 360's are less susceptible to Red Ring. We have no knowledge to base that on other than it's what they've told us. I know it's early to talk more price cuts, but I'll probably wait about a year or so to get a new arcade or elite when the price comes down.
This is exactly why anecdotal evidence isn't reliable. The only thing that proves is that your friends keep getting RROD, it could just be a bad batch or something. Out of all my friends with 360's, only two have gotten a RROD and one of them could easily be neglect for the sysytem.