Mafia VI, official game thread. MAFIA VICTORY!

[[M] Joe - Army Dad]

Mexico


My thoughts

Alright, let's see... Let's start with some numbers, and some past votes just so we can be aware of suspicious voting this round. We can easily assume that the Cult Recruited Night 1, 2, 3, and 4. During day 5 the cult leader died, so that would mean they are done recruiting, and couldn't that night. Now then. That means we have four Cult Members. We have 11 people left, that means 6 people determine the vote. That means its very possible that the Cult may try and lay low, then win the game next round with their impressive numbers. That means atm public enemy number one for us is the Cult.

With that said, I may as well throw up some numbers for how many mafians I think there are. Last game we had a serial killer role, and mafians, there where 4 mafians. I don't see there being that many again, because not only is there a serial killer, and a cult, but we lack the amount of mass roles, that we had the last game, so the mafia having 4 members would probably just be overkill for the town. My guess is the mafia started off with 3 members, then we took out one, so I think a good estimate would be that the mafia has 2 members.


Voting Habits:

Color tells what type of player died.

Day One

Germany(12) Pakistan, United Kingdom, Mexico, Norway, New Zealand, Australia, USA, India, Italy, Brazil, South Africa, Iraq

New Zealand(4) Iran (DOUBLE VOTE), South Africa, Italy, Germany, North Korea

Australia(1) New Zealand, United Kingdom, Germany, Japan

Iran(1) South Korea

Mexico(1) Canada

USA(1) Russia

Day Two
New Zealand(10) Israel, Iran, Australia, United Kingdom, South Korea, Russia, France, USA, South Africa, Pakistan, Mexico

Russia(2) Norway, Iraq

United Kingdom(1) India

Australia(1) Spain

Norway(0) New Zealand

Israel(0) Iran

China(0) Iran

Mexico(0) Spain


Day 3

Votecount

India(9) Russia, North Korea, Australia, Japan, Pakistan, India, China, Israel, South Korea

China(1) Norway

Japan(0) India

No votes day 4, Beloved Princess mourned.

Day 5

Norway (4) - Iran, North Korea, USA, Pakistan, Japan

Spain (3) - South Africa, Iraq, Australia

USA (2) - Israel, Japan, Iran

North Korea (1) - Norway

South Africa (1) - Spain

Not voting - Brazil, Mexico, South Korea

My opinions:

Now, I tried pretty hard to get some thoughts out of this... I don't think that the Cult was going to be willing to vote for Norway, no way, not with it being so close, they would want him to survive, so they could recruit someone during the night and gain victory. I think they may have made one of the more subtle votes, trying to have them all pass under the radar. So I think we could eliminate NK, USA, Pakistan, and Japan from being Cult members.
So I turned my attention to one of the votes I think wouldn't be noticed in last round. Israel. As a several time past mafian member, I can confidently say his vote is almost textbook for someone trying to fly under the radar and go unnoticed.

My thoughts on Israel's vote:

I'm not content with Australia's roleclaim. It seems like if Australia and Pakistan were Scum together, they could've easily coordinated the whole "I'm a White Mage" and "I was a White Mage before the Scramble" thing. I suggest that if there IS a Cop remaining, which I'm guessing there is, that they investigate Australia tonight. Barring Australia being the Godfather, if he/she turns up Scum, that would also incriminate Pakistan. And with Japan being already suspicious, the Mafia would be in trouble.

That's my Two Cents. Unfortunately I have a busy day tomorrow and probably won't make it back for the rest of Day 5, so I'm going to have to cast a vote now. If Australia actually IS the White Mage, that would be a terrible loss, so I'm not ready to make that vote now. Besides ALL the others I just named, the most suspicious to me is USA. I've never been trusting of the low-lyers, at least not this late in the game.

##Vote: USA

Israel's vote seems weird from the beginning, you seem to have a lot of suspicion on Australia, A LOT, of suspicion. But you so easily vote for USA for lying low. My gut tells me not to buy it. This made me go back, and review the rest of your votes. You voted for New Zealand on Day 2, and India on day 3. Both obvious votes, and easily explainable by a mere, "They just seemed SOOOOOOOOO obvious." Again, I don't buy it reviewing back thats what I LOT of members trying to not be noticed did.


I'm not going to vote yet, because if I'm wrong, and someone agrees then the cult can bandwagon and end this day. But I think I've brought up some points that should be discussed.