Before I say anything, let's take stock as to where we are with the voting at this point.
Day FiveAnise - 2 (Pascal, Rowen)
Majority Lynch Occurs at FourVotes
Raven - 1 (Rowen, Rita)
Rowen - 1 (Anise)
Rita - 0 (Raven)
Elize and Raven are yet to vote
Anise is currently on two votes. If Rowen decides to follow through with his vote plan he outlined above, then he takes the risk that he is wrong. Of course, he's very adamant he isn't. Let's leave the vote count for now.
I should explain myself. My plan was to get the two 'unknowns' - Anise and Rowen - to roleclaim first. As these two are by far the most likely to be Mafia, I wanted them to claim first without any prior knowledge. If they are telling the truth, then all is well. If one of them is lying, it will be easiest to tell if they are lying, thanks to Pascal's post, quoted below:
Pascal's list here is a very handy guide to looking at which roles are left unconfirmed as being held by someone.
My current opinion is that Miller and Lyncher are pretty much confirmed with Raven and Rita respectively. Not 100%, but it is looking that way. Therefore, the only roles remaining are:
Tracker
Supersaint
Ascetic
At about this point I'll confirm that I am the Ascetic Townie.
My gambit therefore in getting Anise and Rowen to roleclaim is simple: if they roleclaim as my role before me, they are lying, and therefore a traitor. By making them make the first move, they have no prior knowledge and could fall into my trap. Had I moved first, they would know not to claim Ascetic.
As it happens, neither claimed Ascetic (ugh) but it does confirm that one of Anise or Rowen is lying. Therefore, the drama surrounding Raven and Rita can be safely put to bed. Any lingering concerns that one of them is our last traitor can be dispelled.
Right then? Who is it? Anise, or Rowen?
I've outlined my general suspicions of both in my earlier wall o' text (sorry about these by the way!), but since the roleclaims, something interesting has come to light.
Namely, I find it notable that Rowen is willing to take the last vote. He said this openly without prompting. If he was the last traitor, this would be tantamount to reflective suicide.
Furthermore, Rowen's behaviour throughout the game aligns somewhat more closely with his claimed role than Anise. He's been pretty much in the background the whole time, very agreeable, polite. He's not stuck his neck out for any controversial opinions. Ordinarily this is suspicious but for a Supersaint not getting a Town killed through your mislynch is essential, so I buy the idea that Rowen has been quiet because he doesn't want to draw attention to himself.
Honestly, between them neither's convinced me of their absolute innocence, but on the balance of probability I find Rowen's claim more believable, and he's the better bet regardless with his 'I'll take the last vote' idea. If he does turn out to be lying, he'll die and we win. If he backs out of the idea, he's probably the traitor.
So, here we go: [##VOTE: Anise]
The vote chart has been updated thusly:
Day FiveAnise - 3 (Pascal, Rowen, Elize)
Majority Lynch Occurs at FourVotes
Raven - 1 (Rowen, Rita)
Rowen - 1 (Anise)
Rita - 0 (Raven)
Raven is yet to vote




